3 betting
There's serious blowout potential here. What is your best bet for Week 3? They were not as good as their record in , and they lost a lot of talent this offseason. That includes not just A. Brown but also Harold Landry II, probably their most important defensive player. Tennessee's cornerbacks will be particularly tested by Davante Adams , who will be the focus of the Raiders' offense with Hunter Renfrow possibly out with a concussion. The Raiders have also had a reasonable run defense through two games and Derrick Henry looks like he has lost a step, as the Titans are currently 31st in run offense DVOA.
Even if these defenses are evenly matched, the Raiders simply have better weapons on the offensive side of the ball, enough to counteract home-field advantage and then some. Marks: 49ers I'm sorry to see Trey Lance go down with an injury, but at the end of the day, the 49ers are a better team with Jimmy G at quarterback.
The 49ers offense will be rolling with Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel , and hopefully George Kittle finally gets to dress! The Broncos have 25 penalties for yards in two games, and Nathaniel Hackett has already shown horrible clock management. Shawn Hochulis' crew is calling the game, which is advantageous to the 49ers, considering this group calls a lot of false start penalties. Snellings: Rams at Cardinals over These two defenses have struggled through the first two games.
The Rams got torched by Josh Allen in their first game, but also allowed 27 points to the Falcons in Week 2. The Cardinals got incinerated by the Chiefs in the opener and allowed 23 points to the Raiders in the first three quarters before their furious comeback in the fourth quarter and overtime. Both defenses can generate big plays off turnovers, as well, which could also add to the point total. I'm looking for this to be an old-fashioned, western shootout.
What is your favorite player prop? Schatz: Jerick McKinnon over This is a bit of a counterintuitive pick. The Colts' run defense is the one thing that has been good in the first couple weeks, currently No. But Jerick McKinnon has played a clear role in the Kansas City run game early this season as the switch-up for Clyde Edwards-Helaire , with 34 rushing yards so far.
I expect the Chiefs to be controlling this game late and running out the clock, which means McKinnon's going to get his opportunities and top this tiny rushing total. Fulghum: Dalvin Cook over Don't be spooked by Cook's Week 2 box score.
Yes, he only carried the ball six times, but context is important. The Eagles demolished the Vikings from start to finish. Back in Week 1, Cook had 20 carries against a methodical Packers team because of the positive game script. Not only will he be a back playing as a home favorite, but he is facing the Detroit Lions.
Dan Campbell's bunch has become the ideal opponent in for opportunity and production. Moody: Patrick Mahomes over 2. I'm drawn to this at plus odds. The Chiefs have one of the most pass-heavy offenses in the NFL. Only the Buccaneers Mahomes is known for his dominant performances in September. I expect the Chiefs to score 40 points in this game and most of them through the air. Mahomes has averaged 3. It will be difficult for the Colts' defense to slow down the Kansas City's high-octane offense.
Play for Free Dolan: Leonard Fournette over Fournette is averaging 96 rushing yards on The Packers defense ranks 27th against the run, allowing an average of rushing yards per game. Tampa Bay's offensive line is banged up, and Fournette will have to have a big day in order for the Bucs to stay in the game. Walder: Joe Burrow under I think there's a few different ways that Burrow can throw under For starters, as I mentioned earlier, there's blowout potential here.
When out of position, use a size around 3. These general rules assume BB stacks. When should you polarize your 3-bet range? Polarized 3-bet ranges consist of the hands at the top and bottom of our continuing range. Here are a couple very common situations that warrant a polarized 3-betting range: The open-raiser folds more than half of the time to 3-bets You have a large number of hands that play better as calls rather than 3-bets Imagine you are in the big blind facing a button open-raise to 3BB.
You can profitably call with a relatively wide range of middling hands given your great pot odds—calling 2BB to win 4. Additionally, these hands help balance out our value 3-bets. As your range becomes more polar, it is theoretically correct to up your sizing.
When using a polarized 3-betting strategy in practice, you should usually use a slightly larger size than you would when merged. What factors call for adjustments? Consider: How often your opponent folds Against a player who often folds to 3-bets, mix in more 3-bet bluffs with weak hands. Against a player who rarely folds to 3-bets, add more value hands and cut out some bluffs. Conversely, you should cut down on 3-bet bluffing against players with fierce postflop skills.
The tendencies of the players behind Remember to glance at the players to your left before deciding how to react to an open-raise. The more likely you are to get squeezed, the narrower your calling range should be. Hero… The player in the cutoff is a weak regular that we have played with before. Hero… The player UTG has been raising almost every hand, and continues that trend here.
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The 3-bet is a shot over the bow of the initial raiser, designed to capture that pot right there. Overall, the 3-bet is traditionally one of the strongest moves a player can make, trailing perhaps only the all-in push and the check-raise in its ability to change a hand. Making Your Own 3-Bets The use of 3-bets is best done selectively, at opportune moments.
Many hyper-aggressive players 3-bet with a wide range of hands, including many garbage hands, in the nature of bluffs. Most 3-bets, however, are done with big hands. Another successful type of 3-bet can be done against a player who might over-value the long-term prospects of the game or tourney in deference to what might happen in that specific hand.
He might be surrendering a bit too much of his chance to win in hopes of getting a better opportunity in a later hand. Then there are bluffs. Polarized 3-bet ranges consist of the hands at the top and bottom of our continuing range. Here are a couple very common situations that warrant a polarized 3-betting range: The open-raiser folds more than half of the time to 3-bets You have a large number of hands that play better as calls rather than 3-bets Imagine you are in the big blind facing a button open-raise to 3BB.
You can profitably call with a relatively wide range of middling hands given your great pot odds—calling 2BB to win 4. Additionally, these hands help balance out our value 3-bets. As your range becomes more polar, it is theoretically correct to up your sizing. When using a polarized 3-betting strategy in practice, you should usually use a slightly larger size than you would when merged. What factors call for adjustments? Consider: How often your opponent folds Against a player who often folds to 3-bets, mix in more 3-bet bluffs with weak hands.
Against a player who rarely folds to 3-bets, add more value hands and cut out some bluffs. Conversely, you should cut down on 3-bet bluffing against players with fierce postflop skills. The tendencies of the players behind Remember to glance at the players to your left before deciding how to react to an open-raise.
The more likely you are to get squeezed, the narrower your calling range should be. Hero… The player in the cutoff is a weak regular that we have played with before. Hero… The player UTG has been raising almost every hand, and continues that trend here. In this case, the clear choice is to 3-bet for value. We either win the pot or get to play a big one in position against a loose player. We need to 3-bet a bunch of bluffs to balance this value range.
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